Cooler temperatures and cooler markets
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Another strong month as markets brush off any concerns – until they don’t
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The historically weak September returns were quite solid this year.
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August was “opposite land” in markets vs. July
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Strong start but a weak finish for July
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More green on the screen for June as the markets marched past the various present risks.
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It wasn’t just the May flowers popping this past month. Risky assets had a strong month.
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Using end-of-month values you would think it was a pretty quiet month. A few things happened on the way to month-end however!
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US equities were down again. Int’l equities were flat. Gold was on fire. Rates little changed. Credit spreads are moving higher.
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US equities were negative in February while rest of major asset classes were positive – especially long bonds.
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A solid start to 2025, though tariff volatility kicked in on last day of the month.
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US Large Caps got a little less large, Small Caps a lot smaller, REITs and long bonds smoked and the Fed said “not so fast”
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