This is not an AI-generated blog post, but the returns discussed are definitely influenced by AI!
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It looks like the May flowers came early in the developed equity markets.
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The 2023 rally was interrupted by the banking issues coming to a head on March 10th. Markets calmed down by the end of the month though early April showers are
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Banks are in the news. Here is a summary of the recent events and why this differs from 2008.
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In January, all major asset classes were up except commodities. In February, the opposite occurred – except commodities were still down. The bond market
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The January effect was in full swing, along with the bond market pushing against the Fed.
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There was a major reversal in US equities from November to December, falling like the temperatures in the Midwest.
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Was there anything down in November? Yes – rates and the US Dollar… and flying turkeys (WKRP anyone?)
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Last week FTX – a cryptocurrency exchange and custodian – filed for bankruptcy. FTX customer funds were commingled (fraud), credit was extended to a related
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Nothing seemed scary this month, though plenty of goblins – active Fed, stubborn inflation, slowing global GDP, revenue forecasts – are lurking in the dark.
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That was nasty. The only market positives for September seemed to be more clarity from the Federal Reserve on rate hikes and resulting yield of 3-month
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Markets flipped back to negative monthly returns in August. Only two major asset classes – emerging markets and commodities – were slightly positive. The Fed
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